trading-platform/docs/02-definicion-modulos/OQI-006-ml-signals/estrategias/ARQUITECTURA-MODELOS-FLUJO.md
rckrdmrd c1b5081208 feat(ml): Complete FASE 11 - BTCUSD update and comprehensive documentation alignment
ML Engine Updates:
- Updated BTCUSD with Polygon API data (2024-2025): 215,699 new records
- Re-trained all ML models: Attention (R²: 0.223), Base, Metamodel (87.3% confidence)
- Backtest results: +176.71R profit with aggressive_filter strategy

Documentation Consolidation:
- Created docs/99-analisis/_MAP.md index with 13 new analysis documents
- Consolidated inventories: removed duplicates from orchestration/inventarios/
- Updated ML_INVENTORY.yml with BTCUSD metrics and training results
- Added execution reports: FASE11-BTCUSD, correction issues, alignment validation

Architecture & Integration:
- Updated all module documentation with NEXUS v3.4 frontmatter
- Fixed _MAP.md indexes across all folders
- Updated orchestration plans and traces

Files: 229 changed, 5064 insertions(+), 1872 deletions(-)

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-01-07 09:31:29 -06:00

49 KiB

id title type project version updated_date
ARQUITECTURA-MODELOS-FLUJO Arquitectura de Modelos ML y Flujo de Datos Documentation trading-platform 1.0.0 2026-01-04

Arquitectura de Modelos ML y Flujo de Datos

Version: 2.0.0 Fecha: 2025-12-08 Modulo: OQI-006-ml-signals Autor: Trading Strategist - Trading Platform


Tabla de Contenidos

  1. Vision General del Sistema
  2. Pipeline de Modelos por Niveles
  3. Dependencias entre Modelos
  4. Flujo de Datos Detallado
  5. Meta-Modelo y Ensemble
  6. Pipeline de Entrenamiento
  7. Pipeline de Inferencia
  8. Integracion con Agente LLM

Vision General del Sistema

Arquitectura de Alto Nivel

                          ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
                          │                   ORBIQUANT IA ML SYSTEM v2.0                    │
                          ├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
                          │                                                                  │
 ┌──────────────┐         │  NIVEL 0: DATA INGESTION                                        │
 │              │         │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐   │
 │   MARKET     │────────▶│  │  Market Data (OHLCV) + Timestamps                       │   │
 │    DATA      │         │  │  - API Massive (historical)                             │   │
 │              │         │  │  - MetaTrader4 (live)                                   │   │
 └──────────────┘         │  │  - 10 anos de datos: XAUUSD, EURUSD, GBPUSD, USDJPY     │   │
                          │  └──────────────────────────┬──────────────────────────────┘   │
                          │                             │                                   │
                          │  NIVEL 1: FEATURE ENGINEERING                                   │
                          │  ┌──────────────────────────▼──────────────────────────────┐   │
                          │  │  Feature Engineering Pipeline                           │   │
                          │  │  ┌──────────┬──────────┬──────────┬──────────┬───────┐ │   │
                          │  │  │  Price   │  Volume  │Volatility│  Trend   │ Time  │ │   │
                          │  │  │  Action  │          │          │          │       │ │   │
                          │  │  │  (12)    │   (10)   │   (8)    │   (10)   │  (6)  │ │   │
                          │  │  └────┬─────┴────┬─────┴────┬─────┴────┬─────┴───┬───┘ │   │
                          │  │       │          │          │          │         │      │   │
                          │  │  ┌────┴────┬─────┴────┬─────┴────┬─────┴────┐    │      │   │
                          │  │  │Structure│Order Flow│Liquidity │   ICT    │    │      │   │
                          │  │  │  (12)   │   (10)   │   (8)    │   (15)   │    │      │   │
                          │  │  └────┬────┴────┬─────┴────┬─────┴────┬─────┘    │      │   │
                          │  │       │         │          │          │          │      │   │
                          │  │       │    ┌────┴──────────┴──────────┴──────────┘      │   │
                          │  │       │    │   SMC (12)                                 │   │
                          │  │       │    └────┬───────────────────────────────────────┤   │
                          │  │       │         │                                       │   │
                          │  │  ┌────▼─────────▼───────────────────────────────────┐   │   │
                          │  │  │         COMBINED FEATURE VECTOR (103)            │   │   │
                          │  │  └──────────────────────────┬───────────────────────┘   │   │
                          │  └──────────────────────────────┼──────────────────────────┘   │
                          │                                 │                              │
                          │  NIVEL 2: MODELOS PRIMARIOS (Paralelo)                         │
                          │  ┌──────────────────────────────▼──────────────────────────┐   │
                          │  │                                                         │   │
                          │  │  ┌─────────────────┐  ┌─────────────────┐              │   │
                          │  │  │   AMDDetector   │  │ LiquidityHunter │              │   │
                          │  │  │   (XGBoost)     │  │   (XGBoost)     │              │   │
                          │  │  │                 │  │                 │              │   │
                          │  │  │ Input: 50 feat  │  │ Input: 30 feat  │              │   │
                          │  │  │ Output: 4 prob  │  │ Output: 2 prob  │              │   │
                          │  │  └────────┬────────┘  └────────┬────────┘              │   │
                          │  │           │                    │                        │   │
                          │  │  ┌────────┴────────┐  ┌────────┴────────┐              │   │
                          │  │  │ ICTContextModel │  │ OrderFlowModel  │              │   │
                          │  │  │   (Rules-based) │  │ (LSTM/Optional) │              │   │
                          │  │  │                 │  │                 │              │   │
                          │  │  │ Input: ICT feat │  │ Input: Sequence │              │   │
                          │  │  │ Output: score   │  │ Output: score   │              │   │
                          │  │  └────────┬────────┘  └────────┬────────┘              │   │
                          │  │           │                    │                        │   │
                          │  └───────────┼────────────────────┼────────────────────────┘   │
                          │              │                    │                            │
                          │              └──────────┬─────────┘                            │
                          │                         │                                      │
                          │  NIVEL 3: MODELOS SECUNDARIOS (Stacking)                       │
                          │  ┌──────────────────────▼──────────────────────────────────┐   │
                          │  │                                                         │   │
                          │  │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐│   │
                          │  │  │              FEATURE AUGMENTATION                   ││   │
                          │  │  │  Base Features (103) + Level 2 Outputs (12)         ││   │
                          │  │  │  = 115 features total                               ││   │
                          │  │  └───────────────────────┬─────────────────────────────┘│   │
                          │  │                          │                              │   │
                          │  │          ┌───────────────┴───────────────┐              │   │
                          │  │          │                               │              │   │
                          │  │  ┌───────▼───────┐             ┌─────────▼─────────┐   │   │
                          │  │  │RangePredictor │             │ TPSLClassifier    │   │   │
                          │  │  │  (XGBoost)    │             │   (XGBoost)       │   │   │
                          │  │  │               │             │                   │   │   │
                          │  │  │ Input: 115    │──────┐      │ Input: 115 + Range│   │   │
                          │  │  │ Output:       │      │      │ Output: P(TP)     │   │   │
                          │  │  │  delta_high   │      └─────▶│  per R:R config   │   │   │
                          │  │  │  delta_low    │             │                   │   │   │
                          │  │  │  (4 horizons) │             │                   │   │   │
                          │  │  └───────┬───────┘             └─────────┬─────────┘   │   │
                          │  │          │                               │              │   │
                          │  └──────────┼───────────────────────────────┼──────────────┘   │
                          │             │                               │                  │
                          │             └───────────────┬───────────────┘                  │
                          │                             │                                  │
                          │  NIVEL 4: META-MODELO (Ensemble)                               │
                          │  ┌──────────────────────────▼──────────────────────────────┐   │
                          │  │                                                         │   │
                          │  │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐│   │
                          │  │  │            StrategyOrchestrator                     ││   │
                          │  │  │                                                     ││   │
                          │  │  │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────┐││   │
                          │  │  │  │ INPUTS:                                         │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - AMD phase_proba[4] + confidence               │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - Liquidity sweep_proba[2]                      │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - ICT context_score                             │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - Range delta_high, delta_low (per horizon)     │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - TPSL prob_tp_first (per R:R)                  │││   │
                          │  │  │  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────┘││   │
                          │  │  │                                                     ││   │
                          │  │  │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────┐││   │
                          │  │  │  │ DECISION LOGIC:                                 │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ 1. AMD phase filter (acc/dist only)             │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ 2. ICT context alignment                        │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ 3. Range prediction bias                        │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ 4. TPSL probability threshold                   │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ 5. Liquidity risk check                         │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ 6. Confidence aggregation                       │││   │
                          │  │  │  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────┘││   │
                          │  │  │                                                     ││   │
                          │  │  │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────┐││   │
                          │  │  │  │ OUTPUT:                                         │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - action: LONG / SHORT / HOLD                   │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - confidence: 0-1                               │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - entry_price                                   │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - stop_loss                                     │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - take_profit                                   │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - position_size                                 │││   │
                          │  │  │  │ - reasoning: [explanations]                     │││   │
                          │  │  │  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────┘││   │
                          │  │  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘│   │
                          │  │                                                         │   │
                          │  └──────────────────────────┬──────────────────────────────┘   │
                          │                             │                                  │
                          └─────────────────────────────┼──────────────────────────────────┘
                                                        │
                                                        ▼
                          ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
                          │                    TRADING SIGNAL OUTPUT                         │
                          │  ┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐│
                          │  │ {                                                           ││
                          │  │   "action": "LONG",                                         ││
                          │  │   "symbol": "XAUUSD",                                       ││
                          │  │   "confidence": 0.78,                                       ││
                          │  │   "entry_price": 2650.50,                                   ││
                          │  │   "stop_loss": 2645.20,                                     ││
                          │  │   "take_profit": 2661.10,                                   ││
                          │  │   "position_size": 0.15,                                    ││
                          │  │   "risk_reward": 2.0,                                       ││
                          │  │   "amd_phase": "accumulation",                              ││
                          │  │   "killzone": "london_open",                                ││
                          │  │   "reasoning": ["AMD: Accumulation (78%)", "ICT: OTE", ...] ││
                          │  │ }                                                           ││
                          │  └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘│
                          └─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Pipeline de Modelos por Niveles

Nivel 0: Data Ingestion

Fuentes de datos:

Fuente Tipo Uso Frecuencia
API Massive Historico Entrenamiento, Backtesting Batch diario
MetaTrader4 (MetaAPI) Live Inferencia Real-time
PostgreSQL Cache Datos procesados Continuo

Simbolos soportados:

  • XAUUSD (Oro)
  • EURUSD
  • GBPUSD
  • USDJPY

Timeframes:

  • 5 minutos (principal)
  • 15 minutos
  • 1 hora
  • 4 horas

Nivel 1: Feature Engineering

Total: 103 features

Categoria Cantidad Modelos destino
Price Action 12 AMD, Range
Volume 10 AMD, Range
Volatility 8 AMD, Range, TPSL
Trend 10 AMD, Range
Market Structure 12 AMD, SMC
Order Flow 10 AMD, Liquidity
Liquidity 8 Liquidity, TPSL
ICT 15 ICT Context, Range
SMC 12 AMD, TPSL
Time 6 Todos

Nivel 2: Modelos Primarios

Ejecucion: Paralela

Modelo Tipo Input Output Metricas
AMDDetector XGBoost Multiclass 50 features phase_proba[4], confidence Acc >70%
LiquidityHunter XGBoost Binary 30 features sweep_proba[2] Prec >70%
ICTContextModel Rules-based ICT features context_score (0-1) N/A
OrderFlowModel LSTM (opcional) Sequence(50, 10) flow_score N/A

Outputs del Nivel 2:

level2_outputs = {
    # AMDDetector
    'amd_phase': 'accumulation',  # or manipulation, distribution, neutral
    'amd_prob_neutral': 0.05,
    'amd_prob_accumulation': 0.78,
    'amd_prob_manipulation': 0.12,
    'amd_prob_distribution': 0.05,
    'amd_confidence': 0.78,

    # LiquidityHunter
    'liq_prob_bsl_sweep': 0.35,
    'liq_prob_ssl_sweep': 0.62,

    # ICTContextModel
    'ict_context_score': 0.72,
    'ict_killzone': 'london_open',
    'ict_ote_zone': 'discount',

    # OrderFlowModel (optional)
    'flow_score': 0.65,
    'flow_direction': 'bullish'
}

Nivel 3: Modelos Secundarios (Stacking)

Ejecucion: Secuencial (depende de Nivel 2)

Modelo Input Base Input Stacking Output
RangePredictor 103 features +12 L2 outputs = 115 delta_high, delta_low
TPSLClassifier 115 features +8 Range outputs = 123 prob_tp_first

Feature Augmentation para Nivel 3:

def augment_features_for_level3(base_features, level2_outputs):
    """
    Aumenta features con outputs del nivel 2
    """
    augmented = base_features.copy()

    # AMD features (5)
    augmented['amd_prob_neutral'] = level2_outputs['amd_prob_neutral']
    augmented['amd_prob_accumulation'] = level2_outputs['amd_prob_accumulation']
    augmented['amd_prob_manipulation'] = level2_outputs['amd_prob_manipulation']
    augmented['amd_prob_distribution'] = level2_outputs['amd_prob_distribution']
    augmented['amd_confidence'] = level2_outputs['amd_confidence']

    # Liquidity features (2)
    augmented['liq_prob_bsl'] = level2_outputs['liq_prob_bsl_sweep']
    augmented['liq_prob_ssl'] = level2_outputs['liq_prob_ssl_sweep']

    # ICT features (3)
    augmented['ict_context_score'] = level2_outputs['ict_context_score']
    augmented['ict_killzone_encoded'] = encode_killzone(level2_outputs['ict_killzone'])
    augmented['ict_ote_encoded'] = encode_ote_zone(level2_outputs['ict_ote_zone'])

    # Flow features (2) - optional
    augmented['flow_score'] = level2_outputs.get('flow_score', 0)
    augmented['flow_direction'] = level2_outputs.get('flow_direction_encoded', 0)

    return augmented  # 115 features total

RangePredictor Outputs:

range_outputs = {
    # 15 min horizon (3 bars)
    'delta_high_15m': 0.0085,  # +0.85%
    'delta_low_15m': 0.0042,   # -0.42%
    'bin_high_15m': 2,         # Medium
    'bin_low_15m': 1,          # Low

    # 1 hour horizon (12 bars)
    'delta_high_1h': 0.0142,   # +1.42%
    'delta_low_1h': 0.0078,    # -0.78%
    'bin_high_1h': 3,          # High
    'bin_low_1h': 2,           # Medium
}

TPSLClassifier Outputs:

tpsl_outputs = {
    # 15 min horizon, R:R 2:1
    'tp_prob_15m_rr2': 0.68,

    # 15 min horizon, R:R 3:1
    'tp_prob_15m_rr3': 0.54,

    # 1 hour horizon, R:R 2:1
    'tp_prob_1h_rr2': 0.72,

    # 1 hour horizon, R:R 3:1
    'tp_prob_1h_rr3': 0.61,
}

Nivel 4: Meta-Modelo

StrategyOrchestrator:

class StrategyOrchestrator:
    """
    Meta-modelo que combina todos los outputs
    para generar la senal final de trading
    """

    def __init__(self, config=None):
        self.config = config or {
            'weights': {
                'amd': 0.30,
                'ict': 0.20,
                'range': 0.20,
                'tpsl': 0.20,
                'liquidity': 0.10
            },
            'thresholds': {
                'min_amd_confidence': 0.65,
                'min_tp_probability': 0.55,
                'min_overall_confidence': 0.60,
                'max_liquidity_risk': 0.70
            },
            'risk': {
                'max_position_pct': 0.02,  # 2% del account
                'default_rr': 2.0
            }
        }

    def generate_signal(self, level2_outputs, level3_outputs, current_price, atr):
        """
        Pipeline de decision completo
        """
        signal = {
            'action': 'HOLD',
            'confidence': 0.0,
            'reasoning': []
        }

        # STEP 1: AMD Phase Filter
        amd_phase = level2_outputs['amd_phase']
        amd_conf = level2_outputs['amd_confidence']

        if amd_phase == 'manipulation':
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'AMD: Manipulation phase detected ({amd_conf:.0%}) - avoiding trade')
            return signal

        if amd_phase == 'neutral':
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'AMD: Neutral phase ({amd_conf:.0%}) - no clear direction')
            return signal

        if amd_conf < self.config['thresholds']['min_amd_confidence']:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'AMD: Low confidence ({amd_conf:.0%})')
            return signal

        # Determine bias
        bias = 'bullish' if amd_phase == 'accumulation' else 'bearish'
        signal['reasoning'].append(f'AMD: {amd_phase.capitalize()} ({amd_conf:.0%}) - {bias} bias')

        # STEP 2: ICT Context Alignment
        ict_score = level2_outputs['ict_context_score']
        ict_killzone = level2_outputs['ict_killzone']
        ict_ote = level2_outputs['ict_ote_zone']

        if ict_score > 0.6:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'ICT: High context score ({ict_score:.0%}), {ict_killzone}, {ict_ote} zone')
        else:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'ICT: Moderate context ({ict_score:.0%})')

        # Check OTE alignment with bias
        ote_aligned = (bias == 'bullish' and ict_ote in ['discount', 'extreme_discount']) or \
                      (bias == 'bearish' and ict_ote in ['premium', 'extreme_premium'])

        if not ote_aligned:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'ICT: OTE zone ({ict_ote}) not aligned with {bias} bias')
            # Reduce confidence but don't exit
            ict_score *= 0.5

        # STEP 3: Range Prediction Alignment
        delta_high = level3_outputs['delta_high_15m']
        delta_low = level3_outputs['delta_low_15m']

        range_aligned = (bias == 'bullish' and delta_high > delta_low * 1.5) or \
                        (bias == 'bearish' and delta_low > delta_high * 1.5)

        if range_aligned:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'Range: Prediction aligned (high: {delta_high:.2%}, low: {delta_low:.2%})')
        else:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'Range: Weak alignment (high: {delta_high:.2%}, low: {delta_low:.2%})')
            # Don't exit, just note

        # STEP 4: TPSL Probability Check
        tp_prob = level3_outputs['tp_prob_15m_rr2']

        if tp_prob < self.config['thresholds']['min_tp_probability']:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'TPSL: Low probability ({tp_prob:.0%}) - avoiding trade')
            return signal

        signal['reasoning'].append(f'TPSL: Good probability ({tp_prob:.0%})')

        # STEP 5: Liquidity Risk Check
        liq_bsl = level2_outputs['liq_prob_bsl_sweep']
        liq_ssl = level2_outputs['liq_prob_ssl_sweep']

        if bias == 'bullish' and liq_ssl > self.config['thresholds']['max_liquidity_risk']:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'Liquidity: High SSL sweep risk ({liq_ssl:.0%}) - reduce size')
            position_multiplier = 0.5
        elif bias == 'bearish' and liq_bsl > self.config['thresholds']['max_liquidity_risk']:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'Liquidity: High BSL sweep risk ({liq_bsl:.0%}) - reduce size')
            position_multiplier = 0.5
        else:
            position_multiplier = 1.0

        # STEP 6: Calculate Overall Confidence
        confidence = 0.0
        confidence += self.config['weights']['amd'] * amd_conf
        confidence += self.config['weights']['ict'] * ict_score
        confidence += self.config['weights']['range'] * (1.0 if range_aligned else 0.5)
        confidence += self.config['weights']['tpsl'] * tp_prob
        confidence += self.config['weights']['liquidity'] * (1 - max(liq_bsl, liq_ssl))

        if confidence < self.config['thresholds']['min_overall_confidence']:
            signal['reasoning'].append(f'Overall confidence too low ({confidence:.0%})')
            return signal

        # STEP 7: Generate Trading Signal
        signal['action'] = 'LONG' if bias == 'bullish' else 'SHORT'
        signal['confidence'] = confidence
        signal['entry_price'] = current_price

        # Calculate SL/TP based on ATR
        sl_distance = atr * 0.3  # 0.3 ATR for SL
        tp_distance = atr * 0.6  # 0.6 ATR for TP (R:R 2:1)

        if bias == 'bullish':
            signal['stop_loss'] = current_price - sl_distance
            signal['take_profit'] = current_price + tp_distance
        else:
            signal['stop_loss'] = current_price + sl_distance
            signal['take_profit'] = current_price - tp_distance

        # Position sizing
        risk_per_trade = self.config['risk']['max_position_pct']
        price_risk_pct = sl_distance / current_price
        signal['position_size'] = (risk_per_trade / price_risk_pct) * position_multiplier

        signal['risk_reward'] = tp_distance / sl_distance
        signal['amd_phase'] = amd_phase
        signal['killzone'] = ict_killzone

        signal['reasoning'].append(f'Signal: {signal["action"]} at {current_price:.2f}')
        signal['reasoning'].append(f'SL: {signal["stop_loss"]:.2f}, TP: {signal["take_profit"]:.2f}, R:R: {signal["risk_reward"]:.1f}')
        signal['reasoning'].append(f'Position: {signal["position_size"]:.1%}, Confidence: {confidence:.0%}')

        return signal

Dependencias entre Modelos

Grafo de Dependencias

                    ┌────────────────┐
                    │  Raw OHLCV     │
                    │    Data        │
                    └───────┬────────┘
                            │
                            ▼
                    ┌────────────────┐
                    │   Feature      │
                    │  Engineering   │
                    └───────┬────────┘
                            │
           ┌────────────────┼────────────────┐
           │                │                │
           ▼                ▼                ▼
    ┌──────────────┐ ┌──────────────┐ ┌──────────────┐
    │ AMDDetector  │ │LiquidityHunt │ │ICTContext    │
    │              │ │              │ │              │
    │ (Independiente) │ (Independiente) │ (Independiente) │
    └──────┬───────┘ └──────┬───────┘ └──────┬───────┘
           │                │                │
           │                │                │
           └────────────────┼────────────────┘
                            │
                            ▼
                    ┌────────────────┐
                    │   Feature      │
                    │  Augmentation  │
                    │  (115 feat)    │
                    └───────┬────────┘
                            │
                            ▼
                    ┌────────────────┐
                    │RangePredictor  │◄───┐
                    │                │    │
                    │ (Depende L2)   │    │
                    └───────┬────────┘    │
                            │             │
                            │ (stacking)  │
                            ▼             │
                    ┌────────────────┐    │
                    │TPSLClassifier  │────┘
                    │                │
                    │(Depende L2+Range)│
                    └───────┬────────┘
                            │
                            │
                            ▼
                    ┌────────────────┐
                    │Strategy        │
                    │Orchestrator    │
                    │                │
                    │(Depende todos) │
                    └───────┬────────┘
                            │
                            ▼
                    ┌────────────────┐
                    │ Trading Signal │
                    └────────────────┘

Orden de Ejecucion

Entrenamiento:

1. Feature Engineering Pipeline (fit_transform)
2. AMDDetector.fit()          ─┐
3. LiquidityHunter.fit()       ├── Paralelo
4. ICTContextModel.fit()      ─┘
5. Generate Level 2 outputs for training data
6. RangePredictor.fit() (with augmented features)
7. Generate Range outputs
8. TPSLClassifier.fit() (with Range outputs)
9. StrategyOrchestrator.calibrate() (optional)

Inferencia:

1. Feature Engineering Pipeline (transform)
2. AMDDetector.predict()      ─┐
3. LiquidityHunter.predict()   ├── Paralelo
4. ICTContextModel.score()    ─┘
5. Augment features with Level 2 outputs
6. RangePredictor.predict()
7. Augment features with Range outputs
8. TPSLClassifier.predict()
9. StrategyOrchestrator.generate_signal()

Pipeline de Entrenamiento

Workflow Completo

class MLTrainingPipeline:
    """
    Pipeline completo de entrenamiento
    """

    def __init__(self, data_path, config):
        self.data_path = data_path
        self.config = config
        self.models = {}
        self.feature_pipeline = FeatureEngineeringPipeline()

    def run(self):
        """
        Ejecuta pipeline completo de entrenamiento
        """
        print("=" * 60)
        print("ORBIQUANT ML TRAINING PIPELINE v2.0")
        print("=" * 60)

        # 1. Load data
        print("\n[1/10] Loading data...")
        df = self.load_data()
        print(f"  Loaded {len(df):,} records")

        # 2. Feature engineering
        print("\n[2/10] Feature engineering...")
        X = self.feature_pipeline.fit_transform(df, df.index)
        print(f"  Generated {X.shape[1]} features")

        # 3. Label targets
        print("\n[3/10] Labeling targets...")
        targets = self.label_all_targets(df)

        # 4. Temporal split
        print("\n[4/10] Temporal split...")
        splits = self.temporal_split(X, targets)
        X_train, X_val, X_test = splits['X']
        y_train, y_val, y_test = splits['y']
        print(f"  Train: {len(X_train):,}, Val: {len(X_val):,}, Test: {len(X_test):,}")

        # 5. Train Level 2 models (parallel)
        print("\n[5/10] Training Level 2 models...")
        self.train_level2_models(X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val)

        # 6. Generate Level 2 outputs
        print("\n[6/10] Generating Level 2 outputs...")
        l2_train = self.predict_level2(X_train)
        l2_val = self.predict_level2(X_val)
        l2_test = self.predict_level2(X_test)

        # 7. Augment features for Level 3
        print("\n[7/10] Augmenting features...")
        X_train_aug = self.augment_features(X_train, l2_train)
        X_val_aug = self.augment_features(X_val, l2_val)
        X_test_aug = self.augment_features(X_test, l2_test)

        # 8. Train RangePredictor
        print("\n[8/10] Training RangePredictor...")
        self.train_range_predictor(X_train_aug, y_train, X_val_aug, y_val)

        # 9. Train TPSLClassifier (with Range outputs)
        print("\n[9/10] Training TPSLClassifier...")
        range_train = self.models['range_predictor'].predict(X_train_aug)
        range_val = self.models['range_predictor'].predict(X_val_aug)
        X_train_full = np.hstack([X_train_aug, range_train])
        X_val_full = np.hstack([X_val_aug, range_val])
        self.train_tpsl_classifier(X_train_full, y_train, X_val_full, y_val)

        # 10. Evaluate all
        print("\n[10/10] Final evaluation...")
        metrics = self.evaluate_all(X_test, X_test_aug, X_test_full, y_test, l2_test)

        print("\n" + "=" * 60)
        print("TRAINING COMPLETE")
        print("=" * 60)
        self.print_metrics(metrics)

        # Save models
        self.save_models()

        return metrics

    def train_level2_models(self, X_train, y_train, X_val, y_val):
        """Train modelos nivel 2 en paralelo"""

        # AMDDetector
        print("  Training AMDDetector...")
        self.models['amd_detector'] = AMDDetector(self.config['amd'])
        self.models['amd_detector'].fit(
            X_train[:, :50],  # First 50 features
            y_train['amd_phase'],
            eval_set=(X_val[:, :50], y_val['amd_phase'])
        )

        # LiquidityHunter
        print("  Training LiquidityHunter...")
        liq_features = self.get_liquidity_feature_indices()
        self.models['liquidity_hunter'] = LiquidityHunter(self.config['liquidity'])
        self.models['liquidity_hunter'].fit(
            X_train[:, liq_features],
            y_train['liquidity_sweep'],
            eval_set=(X_val[:, liq_features], y_val['liquidity_sweep'])
        )

        # ICTContextModel (rules-based, no training needed)
        print("  Initializing ICTContextModel...")
        self.models['ict_context'] = ICTContextModel()

    def predict_level2(self, X):
        """Genera predicciones de modelos nivel 2"""
        outputs = {}

        # AMDDetector
        amd_proba = self.models['amd_detector'].predict_proba(X[:, :50])
        outputs['amd_prob_neutral'] = amd_proba[:, 0]
        outputs['amd_prob_accumulation'] = amd_proba[:, 1]
        outputs['amd_prob_manipulation'] = amd_proba[:, 2]
        outputs['amd_prob_distribution'] = amd_proba[:, 3]
        outputs['amd_confidence'] = amd_proba.max(axis=1)

        # LiquidityHunter
        liq_features = self.get_liquidity_feature_indices()
        liq_proba = self.models['liquidity_hunter'].predict_proba(X[:, liq_features])
        outputs['liq_prob_bsl'] = liq_proba[:, 0]
        outputs['liq_prob_ssl'] = liq_proba[:, 1]

        # ICTContext
        ict_features = self.get_ict_feature_indices()
        outputs['ict_context_score'] = self.models['ict_context'].score(X[:, ict_features])

        return np.column_stack([outputs[k] for k in sorted(outputs.keys())])

Pipeline de Inferencia

Real-Time Inference

class MLInferencePipeline:
    """
    Pipeline de inferencia en tiempo real
    """

    def __init__(self, models_path):
        self.load_models(models_path)
        self.feature_pipeline = FeatureEngineeringPipeline()
        self.last_signal = None
        self.signal_cooldown = 60  # segundos

    def load_models(self, path):
        """Carga todos los modelos entrenados"""
        self.models = {
            'amd_detector': load_model(f'{path}/amd_detector.pkl'),
            'liquidity_hunter': load_model(f'{path}/liquidity_hunter.pkl'),
            'ict_context': ICTContextModel(),
            'range_predictor': load_model(f'{path}/range_predictor.pkl'),
            'tpsl_classifier': load_model(f'{path}/tpsl_classifier.pkl'),
            'orchestrator': StrategyOrchestrator()
        }
        self.feature_pipeline.load_scaler(f'{path}/scaler.pkl')

    def predict(self, market_data, timestamps):
        """
        Genera prediccion para datos de mercado

        Args:
            market_data: DataFrame con OHLCV (minimo 100 bars)
            timestamps: DatetimeIndex con timestamps

        Returns:
            Trading signal dict
        """
        # 1. Feature engineering
        X = self.feature_pipeline.transform(market_data, timestamps)
        X_latest = X[-1:]  # Only latest bar

        # 2. Level 2 predictions
        amd_proba = self.models['amd_detector'].predict_proba(X_latest[:, :50])
        amd_phase = ['neutral', 'accumulation', 'manipulation', 'distribution'][amd_proba.argmax()]

        liq_features = self.get_liquidity_feature_indices()
        liq_proba = self.models['liquidity_hunter'].predict_proba(X_latest[:, liq_features])

        ict_features = self.get_ict_feature_indices()
        ict_score = self.models['ict_context'].score(X_latest[:, ict_features])
        ict_killzone = identify_killzone(timestamps[-1])
        ict_ote = calculate_ote_zone(market_data)

        level2_outputs = {
            'amd_phase': amd_phase,
            'amd_prob_neutral': amd_proba[0, 0],
            'amd_prob_accumulation': amd_proba[0, 1],
            'amd_prob_manipulation': amd_proba[0, 2],
            'amd_prob_distribution': amd_proba[0, 3],
            'amd_confidence': amd_proba.max(),
            'liq_prob_bsl_sweep': liq_proba[0, 0],
            'liq_prob_ssl_sweep': liq_proba[0, 1],
            'ict_context_score': ict_score[0],
            'ict_killzone': ict_killzone,
            'ict_ote_zone': ict_ote
        }

        # 3. Augment features
        X_aug = self.augment_features(X_latest, level2_outputs)

        # 4. Level 3 predictions
        range_pred = self.models['range_predictor'].predict(X_aug)

        X_full = np.hstack([X_aug, range_pred])
        tpsl_pred = self.models['tpsl_classifier'].predict_proba(X_full)

        level3_outputs = {
            'delta_high_15m': range_pred[0, 0],
            'delta_low_15m': range_pred[0, 1],
            'delta_high_1h': range_pred[0, 2],
            'delta_low_1h': range_pred[0, 3],
            'tp_prob_15m_rr2': tpsl_pred[0, 0],
            'tp_prob_15m_rr3': tpsl_pred[0, 1],
            'tp_prob_1h_rr2': tpsl_pred[0, 2],
            'tp_prob_1h_rr3': tpsl_pred[0, 3]
        }

        # 5. Generate signal
        current_price = market_data['close'].iloc[-1]
        atr = calculate_atr(market_data, 14).iloc[-1]

        signal = self.models['orchestrator'].generate_signal(
            level2_outputs,
            level3_outputs,
            current_price,
            atr
        )

        # Add metadata
        signal['timestamp'] = timestamps[-1]
        signal['symbol'] = market_data.attrs.get('symbol', 'UNKNOWN')
        signal['model_outputs'] = {
            'level2': level2_outputs,
            'level3': level3_outputs
        }

        return signal

Integracion con Agente LLM

Flujo de Integracion

┌─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┐
│                      LLM AGENT INTEGRATION                                   │
├─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┤
│                                                                              │
│  ┌──────────────────────┐    ┌──────────────────────┐                       │
│  │   ML Engine          │    │   LLM Agent          │                       │
│  │   (FastAPI)          │◄──▶│   (chatgpt-oss)      │                       │
│  │                      │    │                      │                       │
│  │  /api/signal         │    │  Trading Tools:      │                       │
│  │  /api/analysis       │    │  - get_ml_signal()   │                       │
│  │  /api/models/status  │    │  - analyze_market()  │                       │
│  └──────────────────────┘    │  - explain_signal()  │                       │
│                              │  - execute_trade()   │                       │
│                              └──────────────────────┘                       │
│                                         │                                    │
│                                         ▼                                    │
│                              ┌──────────────────────┐                       │
│                              │   User Interface     │                       │
│                              │   (Chat / Commands)  │                       │
│                              └──────────────────────┘                       │
│                                                                              │
└─────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────┘

Tools para LLM

# Tool: get_ml_signal
def get_ml_signal(symbol: str, timeframe: str = '5m') -> dict:
    """
    Obtiene senal ML actual para un simbolo

    Args:
        symbol: Par de trading (XAUUSD, EURUSD, etc.)
        timeframe: Timeframe (5m, 15m, 1h)

    Returns:
        Trading signal con explicacion
    """
    response = requests.get(f'{ML_ENGINE_URL}/api/signal', params={
        'symbol': symbol,
        'timeframe': timeframe
    })
    return response.json()

# Tool: analyze_market
def analyze_market(symbol: str) -> dict:
    """
    Analiza estado actual del mercado

    Returns:
        - AMD phase
        - ICT context
        - Key levels
        - Recent signals
    """
    response = requests.get(f'{ML_ENGINE_URL}/api/analysis', params={
        'symbol': symbol
    })
    return response.json()

# Tool: explain_signal
def explain_signal(signal: dict) -> str:
    """
    Genera explicacion en lenguaje natural de una senal

    Returns:
        Explicacion detallada para el usuario
    """
    # LLM genera explicacion basada en signal['reasoning']
    pass

# Tool: execute_trade
def execute_trade(
    symbol: str,
    action: str,
    size: float,
    sl: float,
    tp: float
) -> dict:
    """
    Ejecuta trade via MetaTrader4

    Returns:
        Confirmacion de ejecucion
    """
    response = requests.post(f'{TRADING_SERVICE_URL}/api/trade', json={
        'symbol': symbol,
        'action': action,
        'size': size,
        'stop_loss': sl,
        'take_profit': tp
    })
    return response.json()

System Prompt para LLM

You are Trading Platform AI Trading Copilot, a specialized assistant for trading operations.

You have access to the following tools:
1. get_ml_signal(symbol, timeframe) - Get ML-generated trading signals
2. analyze_market(symbol) - Get market analysis
3. explain_signal(signal) - Explain a trading signal
4. execute_trade(symbol, action, size, sl, tp) - Execute a trade

When analyzing signals, always explain:
1. The AMD phase and what it means
2. The ICT context (killzone, OTE zone)
3. The probability estimates from the models
4. The risk/reward ratio
5. Your recommendation

Always prioritize risk management. Never recommend trades without proper stop loss.

Current market context:
- AMD phases: Accumulation (building positions), Manipulation (stop hunting),
  Distribution (selling)
- ICT killzones: London Open, NY AM are highest probability
- Minimum confidence threshold: 60%

Documento Generado: 2025-12-08 Trading Strategist - Trading Platform